Poker - Drawing To A Bobtail
“For I am nothing.”
Othello. Act II, Scene 1st.
The larger the number of players in a game, the better play it is to draw one card to a bobtail flush or straight. As far as the element of chance goes, it must be remembered that the four cards are of absolutely no value without the odd fifth which is to be drawn, except so far as bluffing is concerned. There is no probability of a bobtail winning on its merits, consequently the only chance of winning is of improving the hand. It is hardly worth while to take the risk unless the pot is one of considerable size.
Drawing to a straight with both ends open is very good play, as the odds are
only about six to one against its being made. But drawing to an intermediate
straight is taking a chance of one in twelve. A flush, according to the calculus
of probabilities, should on a one-card draw be made nine times out of forty-seven.
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